STARTING HAND ODDS
德州扑克起手牌胜率表
德州扑克一开始发到的两张手牌,一共有169种。每一种到底有多强?这里用精确的概率和解说告诉你。
起手牌表
点一下格子,就能看到这手牌的详细概率和解说。
AA
按对手人数的胜率
到河牌为止凑成的牌型(你的7张牌)
这张表怎么看
表的横竖是两张手牌的点数。对角线是对子(AA、KK 等),右上是两张同花色的手牌(s),左下是不同花色的手牌(o)。
格子颜色越深,胜率越高。改变上面的「对手人数」,颜色和数字会按人数更新。胜率是对手拿随机手牌、所有人都不弃牌打到最后时,你赢的比例(平局按平分计算)。
「到河牌为止凑成的牌型」是你的7张牌(两张手牌加五张公共牌)最后凑成各牌型的概率,把剩下的牌所有可能的出法全部算过,是精确值。
手牌强弱的参考
按单挑胜率的排名,把169种手牌分成4档。不过对手越多,同花色、点数相连的手牌价值越高,对子和大牌的优势会变小。
顶级 第1〜10名
不管几个人都胜率很高:大对子,以及 AK 这样的两张大牌。
AA KK QQ JJ 1010 99 88 AKs 77 AQs
强牌 第11〜30名
大多数情况下都可以玩:中对子,以及 A 配大牌。
AJs AKo A10s AQo AJo KQs 66 A10o A9s KJs A8s K10s KQo A7s A9o KJo 55 QJs A6s K9s
看情况 第31〜70名
强弱很看牌桌情况。同花色、点数相连的手牌,人越多越有价值。
A5s A8o K10o Q10s A4s A7o K8s A3s QJo K9o A5o A6o Q9s J10s K7s A2s Q10o 44 K6s A4o K8o A3o Q8s K5s J9s Q9o K7o J10o A2o K4s Q7s 109s K6o J8s K3s 33 Q8o Q6s K5o K2s
弱牌 第71〜169名
能赢的情况很少,多是点数不相连、花色不同的手牌。
J9o Q5s K4o J7s 108s Q7o Q4s J8o K3o 109o Q3s Q6o 98s J6s 107s K2o 22 Q2s Q5o J5s J7o 108o 97s Q4o J4s 106s Q3o J3s 98o 107o J6o 87s J2s 96s Q2o J5o 105s 104s 86s 97o J4o 106o 95s 103s 76s J3o 87o 102s 96o 85s J2o 105o 94s 75s 104o 93s 65s 86o 95o 84s 103o 92s 76o 74s 102o 54s 85o 64s 83s 94o 75o 82s 93o 65o 73s 53s 63s 84o 92o 74o 43s 72s 54o 64o 62s 52s 83o 82o 42s 73o 53o 63o 32s 43o 72o 52o 62o 42o 32o
用数字看起手牌
常见问题
最强的起手牌是什么?
AA(一对A)。单挑胜率85.2%,对5个对手也有49.0%,比任何手牌都高。第二是 KK(82.5%),第三是 QQ(80.0%)。
最弱的起手牌是什么?
按单挑胜率,最弱的是32o,只有32.3%。点数差太远很难成顺子,花色不同也很难成同花。
AK 和 QQ 哪个强?
对随机手牌的胜率,QQ(80.0%)高于 AKo(65.3%)和 AKs(67.0%)。两手牌直接对决时,QQ 对不同花色的 AK 胜率是57.2%。
同花色到底有多大优势?
同样点数相比,同花色单挑平均多赢2.8个百分点,对5个对手时平均多3.9个百分点。到河牌为止成同花的概率,同花色平均6.6%,不同花色是2.0%。
口袋对子成三条的概率是多少?
翻牌成三条的概率是11.8%,到河牌为止是19.2%,大约每8次翻牌有1次。
人数越多,胜率怎么变?
所有手牌的胜率都会下降。AA 单挑是85.2%,对5个对手是49.0%,对8个对手是34.6%。改变上面的「对手人数」,可以看到每手牌按人数的胜率。
全部169种手牌胜率排名
按单挑胜率从高到低排列。点手牌名称,可以在上面看到详细概率。
| 排名 | 手牌 | 对手1人 | 对手2人 | 对手5人 | 对手8人 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AA | 85.2% | 73.6% | 49.0% | 34.6% |
| 2 | KK | 82.5% | 68.8% | 43.0% | 29.4% |
| 3 | 80.0% | 64.8% | 37.9% | 24.8% | |
| 4 | JJ | 77.5% | 61.3% | 33.5% | 21.7% |
| 5 | 1010 | 75.1% | 57.5% | 29.9% | 18.9% |
| 6 | 99 | 71.9% | 53.8% | 26.6% | 17.1% |
| 7 | 88 | 69.2% | 49.9% | 23.9% | 15.9% |
| 8 | AKs | 67.0% | 50.7% | 31.0% | 22.6% |
| 9 | 77 | 66.3% | 46.5% | 21.8% | 14.8% |
| 10 | AQs | 66.2% | 49.4% | 29.3% | 21.1% |
| 11 | AJs | 65.5% | 48.2% | 28.1% | 19.8% |
| 12 | AKo | 65.3% | 48.2% | 27.8% | 19.2% |
| 13 | A10s | 64.6% | 47.2% | 26.6% | 19.1% |
| 14 | AQo | 64.5% | 46.9% | 26.0% | 17.6% |
| 15 | AJo | 63.6% | 45.5% | 24.4% | 16.0% |
| 16 | KQs | 63.4% | 47.0% | 28.3% | 20.3% |
| 17 | 66 | 63.1% | 43.4% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| 18 | A10o | 62.9% | 44.2% | 23.1% | 15.1% |
| 19 | A9s | 62.7% | 44.7% | 24.2% | 16.8% |
| 20 | KJs | 62.5% | 45.9% | 27.0% | 19.3% |
| 21 | A8s | 62.0% | 43.5% | 23.3% | 16.1% |
| 22 | K10s | 61.7% | 44.8% | 26.0% | 18.6% |
| 23 | KQo | 61.3% | 44.4% | 24.9% | 16.9% |
| 24 | A7s | 60.9% | 42.5% | 22.4% | 15.7% |
| 25 | A9o | 60.7% | 41.7% | 20.1% | 12.7% |
| 26 | KJo | 60.6% | 43.1% | 23.5% | 15.6% |
| 27 | 55 | 60.4% | 40.1% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| 28 | QJs | 60.3% | 44.1% | 26.1% | 18.8% |
| 29 | A6s | 59.9% | 41.0% | 21.5% | 15.3% |
| 30 | K9s | 59.9% | 42.4% | 23.2% | 16.3% |
| 31 | A5s | 59.9% | 41.5% | 22.2% | 15.8% |
| 32 | A8o | 59.9% | 40.4% | 19.3% | 11.8% |
| 33 | K10o | 59.7% | 42.1% | 22.2% | 14.7% |
| 34 | Q10s | 59.4% | 43.0% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| 35 | A4s | 59.0% | 40.6% | 21.5% | 15.5% |
| 36 | A7o | 58.7% | 39.5% | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| 37 | K8s | 58.4% | 40.2% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
| 38 | A3s | 58.3% | 39.7% | 21.3% | 15.2% |
| 39 | QJo | 58.2% | 41.2% | 22.8% | 15.4% |
| 40 | K9o | 57.9% | 39.2% | 19.4% | 12.2% |
| 41 | A5o | 57.8% | 38.5% | 18.1% | 11.5% |
| 42 | A6o | 57.6% | 37.9% | 17.4% | 10.8% |
| 43 | Q9s | 57.5% | 40.5% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| 44 | J10s | 57.5% | 41.9% | 24.8% | 18.1% |
| 45 | K7s | 57.4% | 39.3% | 20.7% | 14.5% |
| 46 | A2s | 57.3% | 38.8% | 20.5% | 14.7% |
| 47 | Q10o | 57.1% | 40.2% | 21.8% | 14.4% |
| 48 | 44 | 56.9% | 36.8% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| 49 | K6s | 56.7% | 38.5% | 19.9% | 13.8% |
| 50 | A4o | 56.7% | 37.3% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| 51 | K8o | 56.1% | 36.9% | 17.3% | 10.7% |
| 52 | A3o | 56.0% | 36.3% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| 53 | Q8s | 55.9% | 38.3% | 20.6% | 14.4% |
| 54 | K5s | 55.8% | 37.3% | 19.5% | 13.5% |
| 55 | J9s | 55.7% | 39.4% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| 56 | Q9o | 55.4% | 37.6% | 18.9% | 12.0% |
| 57 | K7o | 55.2% | 36.0% | 16.6% | 10.3% |
| 58 | J10o | 55.2% | 39.2% | 21.5% | 14.4% |
| 59 | A2o | 55.0% | 35.2% | 16.3% | 10.3% |
| 60 | K4s | 54.8% | 36.5% | 19.0% | 13.4% |
| 61 | Q7s | 54.3% | 36.5% | 18.8% | 13.3% |
| 62 | 109s | 54.1% | 38.7% | 22.4% | 16.2% |
| 63 | K6o | 54.1% | 35.0% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| 64 | J8s | 54.0% | 37.3% | 20.5% | 14.5% |
| 65 | K3s | 53.9% | 35.6% | 18.4% | 13.2% |
| 66 | 33 | 53.7% | 33.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% |
| 67 | Q8o | 53.6% | 35.2% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
| 68 | Q6s | 53.5% | 35.8% | 18.5% | 12.7% |
| 69 | K5o | 53.3% | 34.0% | 15.3% | 9.4% |
| 70 | K2s | 53.3% | 35.1% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| 71 | J9o | 53.2% | 36.3% | 18.8% | 12.2% |
| 72 | Q5s | 52.6% | 34.8% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| 73 | K4o | 52.5% | 32.9% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| 74 | J7s | 52.3% | 35.3% | 18.9% | 13.2% |
| 75 | 108s | 52.2% | 36.5% | 20.5% | 14.6% |
| 76 | Q7o | 51.9% | 33.0% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
| 77 | Q4s | 51.8% | 34.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% |
| 78 | J8o | 51.5% | 34.1% | 16.8% | 10.6% |
| 79 | K3o | 51.5% | 32.2% | 14.3% | 8.9% |
| 80 | 109o | 51.4% | 35.7% | 18.9% | 12.5% |
| 81 | Q3s | 51.2% | 33.1% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| 82 | Q6o | 51.1% | 32.3% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| 83 | 98s | 50.9% | 36.0% | 20.3% | 14.6% |
| 84 | J6s | 50.8% | 33.6% | 17.3% | 12.0% |
| 85 | 107s | 50.6% | 34.6% | 18.8% | 13.5% |
| 86 | K2o | 50.4% | 31.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| 87 | 22 | 50.3% | 30.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| 88 | Q2s | 50.2% | 32.4% | 16.8% | 11.9% |
| 89 | Q5o | 50.0% | 31.3% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| 90 | J5s | 49.9% | 32.7% | 16.8% | 11.8% |
| 91 | J7o | 49.7% | 31.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| 92 | 108o | 49.6% | 33.6% | 16.8% | 11.1% |
| 93 | 97s | 49.1% | 34.1% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| 94 | Q4o | 49.0% | 30.4% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| 95 | J4s | 49.0% | 31.9% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| 96 | 106s | 48.8% | 32.8% | 17.3% | 12.3% |
| 97 | Q3o | 48.3% | 29.6% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
| 98 | J3s | 48.1% | 31.3% | 16.1% | 11.4% |
| 99 | 98o | 48.1% | 32.7% | 16.5% | 10.9% |
| 100 | 107o | 48.0% | 31.4% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| 101 | J6o | 47.8% | 29.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| 102 | 87s | 47.8% | 33.9% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| 103 | J2s | 47.4% | 30.4% | 15.6% | 11.2% |
| 104 | 96s | 47.3% | 32.1% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| 105 | Q2o | 47.3% | 28.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| 106 | J5o | 47.1% | 29.0% | 12.7% | 7.7% |
| 107 | 105s | 47.0% | 30.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% |
| 108 | 104s | 46.5% | 30.1% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| 109 | 86s | 46.4% | 31.9% | 17.7% | 12.9% |
| 110 | 97o | 46.3% | 30.6% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| 111 | J4o | 46.2% | 28.4% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
| 112 | 106o | 45.9% | 29.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| 113 | 95s | 45.7% | 30.2% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
| 114 | 103s | 45.6% | 29.5% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| 115 | 76s | 45.5% | 32.0% | 18.0% | 13.1% |
| 116 | J3o | 45.2% | 27.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| 117 | 87o | 44.9% | 30.3% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
| 118 | 102s | 44.9% | 28.7% | 14.9% | 10.5% |
| 119 | 96o | 44.5% | 28.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| 120 | 85s | 44.4% | 29.9% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
| 121 | J2o | 44.3% | 26.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| 122 | 105o | 44.3% | 27.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| 123 | 94s | 43.8% | 28.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| 124 | 75s | 43.7% | 30.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% |
| 125 | 104o | 43.4% | 26.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% |
| 126 | 93s | 43.2% | 27.8% | 14.3% | 10.1% |
| 127 | 65s | 43.1% | 30.3% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| 128 | 86o | 43.1% | 28.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% |
| 129 | 95o | 42.7% | 26.5% | 11.9% | 7.4% |
| 130 | 84s | 42.7% | 28.2% | 14.8% | 10.7% |
| 131 | 103o | 42.6% | 25.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| 132 | 92s | 42.4% | 27.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
| 133 | 76o | 42.2% | 28.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% |
| 134 | 74s | 41.9% | 28.3% | 15.3% | 11.2% |
| 135 | 102o | 41.6% | 24.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| 136 | 54s | 41.6% | 28.7% | 16.5% | 12.6% |
| 137 | 85o | 41.5% | 26.5% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| 138 | 64s | 41.4% | 28.5% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| 139 | 83s | 40.9% | 26.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| 140 | 94o | 40.7% | 24.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| 141 | 75o | 40.3% | 26.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| 142 | 82s | 40.2% | 25.8% | 13.3% | 9.4% |
| 143 | 93o | 40.0% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| 144 | 65o | 39.9% | 26.6% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| 145 | 73s | 39.8% | 26.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| 146 | 53s | 39.7% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| 147 | 63s | 39.6% | 26.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| 148 | 84o | 39.3% | 24.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| 149 | 92o | 39.0% | 23.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| 150 | 74o | 38.8% | 24.4% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| 151 | 43s | 38.6% | 26.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% |
| 152 | 72s | 38.4% | 24.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
| 153 | 54o | 38.1% | 25.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| 154 | 64o | 37.9% | 24.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| 155 | 62s | 37.8% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 9.7% |
| 156 | 52s | 37.8% | 25.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% |
| 157 | 83o | 37.5% | 22.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| 158 | 82o | 36.8% | 21.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| 159 | 42s | 36.8% | 24.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% |
| 160 | 73o | 36.6% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| 161 | 53o | 36.3% | 23.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| 162 | 63o | 36.0% | 22.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
| 163 | 32s | 35.9% | 23.9% | 12.9% | 9.8% |
| 164 | 43o | 35.0% | 22.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| 165 | 72o | 34.6% | 20.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| 166 | 52o | 34.2% | 21.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| 167 | 62o | 34.1% | 20.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| 168 | 42o | 33.2% | 20.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| 169 | 32o | 32.3% | 19.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
胜率是每种手牌、每个人数各随机发200,000次牌算出来的(误差约±0.2个百分点)。牌型概率是把剩下的牌所有可能的出法全部算过的精确值。
知道了概率,
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